Market Commentary First Quarter 2021
The IMF upgraded its global growth forecast to 5.5% for 2021, while its 2022 forecast remained unchanged at 4.2%. This move was hardly surprising given the continued stimulus provided by global central banks along with a strong vaccine drive over the quarter. As developed nations are vaccinating at a faster rate than emerging nations, we do expect their economic recovery to mirror this. Economies which are highly dependent on tourism will likely continue to struggle in the face of subdued international travel. Locally, business confidence remained weak while consumer confidence increased on the back of stronger household finances.